Labour, Migration and Biographical Data for East and Southeast Europe

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

Fourth series of experiments: Series 4 from A to D to E

Type: Interactive resource

Title: Fourth series of experiments

Subtitle: Series 4 from A to D to E

Collective Title: Non-linear Effects of Turbulent Institutional Modernization

Numbering: 4,2

Creators: Dmitry Zhukov; Sergey Lyamin

DOI: 10.15457/jgo_2017-4-4-2

Date of Publication: 06.11.2017

License: CC-BY-NC

Languages: English

Availability: Download (html, swf)

Format of Data: *.html, *.swf

Temporal Coverage: 01.01.2000-31.12.2015

Description: Fourth series of experiments, phases A to E: demonstrates development scenarios of a rather realistic initial situation (А).
Variant B-C: if dc decreases, then kc goes up, accompanied by a reconfiguration of modernization drivers. Phased transition occurs almost instantly, and attractors fall into two dense clouds located in different areas.
Variant D-E: If dc goes up, then kc starts decreasing, which means reinforcement of the previous type of modernisation. Attractors pass into the target M-area.
In both variants, if the previous tendency does not change, it is quickly followed by an explosion of attractors and disintegration of institution (С and E). Both scenarios require a targeted and accurate controlling impact in order to stabilize the system as it enters M-area.

Geographical Area: Russia

Keywords: modernization, institutions, modeling, systemic and dynamic modeling, non-linear dynamics, agent-oriented modeling, system, fractal geometry, self-organized criticality

Structured recordings: Dmitry Zhukov; Sergey Lyamin: Nonlinear effects of turbulent institutional modernization, in: Jahrbücher für Geschichte Osteuropas 65 (2017), no. 4, pp. 624-650.

Citation: Zhukov, Dmitry; Lyamin, Sergey (2017): Fourth series of experiments: Series 4 from A to D to E. Version: 1. Leibniz Institute for East and Southeast European Studies (IOS). Interactive resource.